Borneo forest landscape
Forest Carbon Science

Rethinkingcounterfactualanalysis

Combining geospatial foundation models with rigorous causal inference to build more credible forest carbon baselines.

AI-Powered
Foundation Models
Rigorous
Causal Methods
Scalable
Locally Calibrated
About Us

What is belian.earth?

Belian is the local Sabahan name for the Bornean Ironwood — a remarkable tree with a lifespan exceeding 1,000 years and exceptional carbon storage capacity.

Forest conservation and carbon projects face a fundamental challenge: how do you credibly estimate what would have happened without the conservation intervention? Getting counterfactuals right is essential for carbon markets to deliver real climate impact.

We're building new approaches to this problem, bringing together state-of-the-art geospatial foundation models with rigorous causal inference methods.

Credible Baselines

Science-backed counterfactuals

Cutting-Edge AI

Foundation model powered

Bornean Ironwood (Belian) tree in the rainforest
1000+Years of Growth

Like the Bornean Ironwood, we're committed to long-term thinking and lasting impact.

Our Approach

How we're tackling the
counterfactual problem

Combining cutting-edge technology with established scientific methods for credible baseline estimation.

01

Geospatial Foundation Models

Leveraging the latest advances in Earth observation AI to understand landscape-scale patterns of forest change and condition.

02

Causal Inference

Applying rigorous statistical methods to estimate counterfactual outcomes—what would have happened without the conservation intervention.

03

Forest Carbon Expertise

Deep domain knowledge in forest carbon monitoring, project assessment, and the challenges facing credible baseline estimation.

Interested in our work?

We'd love to hear from researchers, developers, and project teams.

Get in Touch